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โอกาสการลงทุนท่ามกลาง “วิกฤต”
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          ภายใต้วิกฤตเศรษฐกิจที่เกิดขึ้น ย่อมมีโอกาสในการลงทุนเกิดขึ้นเสมอ และโอกาสนั้นจะเกิดขึ้นได้ ต้องอยู่ภายใต้จังหวะและเวลาที่เหมาะสม รวมถึงการให้ข้อมูลที่รอบด้าน ภายใต้แนวคิด “ชีวิตคือการลงทุน”
          วิเชฐ ตันติวานิช รองผู้จัดการ สายงานการตลาดศูนย์ระดมทุน ตลาดหลักทรัพย์แห่งประเทศไทย  ให้ความคิดเห็นถึงแง่มุมทางเศรษฐกิจในปัจจุบันว่า วิกฤตการเงินโลกที่เกิดขึ้นในสหรัฐอเมริกา อาจเรียกได้ว่าย่ำแย่ที่สุดในรอบ100ปี เนื่องจากเศรษฐกิจของอเมริกามีขนาดที่ใหญ่มาก จนส่งผลกระทบไปทั่วโลกทั้งทางตรงและทางอ้อม
          “ประเทศไทยเราคงได้รับผลกระทบทางอ้อมแน่นอน เพราะผู้ที่ทำธุรกิจส่งออกอาจมีออเดอร์ที่เข้ามาลดลง คาดว่าเศรษฐกิจสหรัฐฯ อาจต้องใช้เวลาฟื้นตัวอีกนาน และในอนาคตอาจจะต้องนำแนวคิดเศรษฐกิจพอเพียงมาใช้บ้างก็เป็นได้”
          อย่างไรก็ตาม วิเชฐ ยังมั่นใจว่าผู้ประกอบการไทยอาจจะพลิกวิกฤตครั้งนี้ให้เป็น “โอกาส” ได้ เนื่องจากทวีปเอเชียจะก้าวขึ้นมามีบทบาทต่อเศรษฐกิจโลกมากขึ้น แทนที่สหรัฐฯ และยุโรปที่จะชะลอตัวลงไป
          “ทวีปเอเชียเรามีจำนวนประชากรเกินกว่าครึ่งโลกคือสองพันล้านคน อีกทั้งยังมีประเทศผู้นำใหม่อย่างจีนและอินเดีย ประเทศไทยเราน่าจะใช้โอกาสนี้เติบโตคู่ไปกับพวกเขาได้”
          รองผู้จัดการตลาดหลักทรัพย์ฯ  บอกอีกว่า ประเทศไทยมีปัจจัยสำคัญที่จะช่วยให้เศรษฐกิจเติบโตได้คือการเป็นผู้ส่งออกอาหารสำคัญของโลก จะช่วยให้ไทยมีบทบาทสำคัญต่อเศรษฐกิจโลก รวมถึงการผลิตภายในประเทศที่จะมีการเติบโตขึ้นด้วย
          สำหรับผู้ประกอบการธุรกิจ โดยเฉพาะ SMEs จะต้องติดตามสถานการณ์เศรษฐกิจอย่างใกล้ชิด พร้อมระมัดระวังตัวเองไม่ให้ได้รับผลกระทบจากวิกฤตที่เกิดขึ้น ส่วนปัญหาการเมืองนั้น แน่นอว่ามีผลต่อความเชื่อมั่น แต่ถึงอย่างไรพื้นฐานทางเศรษฐกิจของไทยยังมั่นคงอยู่ ถ้านโยบายภาครัฐเดินหน้าอีกครั้ง ก็น่าจะเป็นช่วงเวลาที่ธุรกิจจะขยายตัวได้
          “คติของผู้ประกอบการเวลานี้ ระยะสั้นจะต้องหลบหลีกวิกฤตครั้งนี้ให้ได้ ส่วนระยะกลางถึงระยะยาวจะต้องวางแผนเตรียมตัวที่จะลงทุนใหม่ ถ้ามีโอกาสเกิดขึ้น”
          นอกจากโอกาสทางธุรกิจของผู้ประกอบการแล้ว ในแง่มุมของการลงทุน วิเชฐ ยังบอกด้วยว่า ช่วงเวลานี้ยังเป็นโอกาสที่ดีของการสร้างดอกผลจากเงินลงทุนให้งอกเงยขึ้นอีกด้วย แม้อีกด้านหนึ่งของโลกจะเกิดวิกฤตทางการเงินขึ้นก็ตาม
          คำถามที่นักลงทุนบางส่วนอาจจะสงสัยว่าในยามที่ตลาดทุนและตลาดเงินไม่แน่นอนเช่นนี้ จะมีวิธีการลงทุนอย่างไรให้มีผลตอบแทนสูงกว่าการฝากเงินตามปกติ วิเชฐ ตอบสั้นๆ ว่าท่ามกลางวิกฤต ย่อมมีโอกาสเสมอ
          “นักลงทุนจะมีอยู่สองประเภท คือกลุ่มที่รอจังหวะที่เหมาะสมอยู่ ผมคิดว่าเวลานี้เป็นโอกาสที่ดีสำหรับการลงทุนแล้ว”
          วิเชฐ อธิบายต่อว่า เศรษฐกิจไทยในขณะนี้ไม่ได้ย่ำแย่หนักอย่างที่ใครๆ คิด เพราะสองต้นทุนหลักของธุรกิจ คือราคาน้ำมันก็ไม่สูงจนน่าตกใจอีกต่อไปแล้ว ส่งผลไปถึงอัตราเงินเฟ้อที่ไม่สูงจนต้องปรับอัตราดอกเบี้ยขึ้น นอกจากนี้ที่ดังที่กล่าวไปแล้ว ประเทศไทยยังมีโอกาสได้ประโยชน์จากความต้องการอาหารในตลาดโลกที่เพิ่มสูงขึ้นด้วย ทำให้ผลกำไรของบริษัทจดทะเบียนไม่น่าจะได้รับผลกระทบเท่าใดนัก ส่วนนักลงทุนที่ซื้อขายหุ้นเป็นประจำอยู่แล้วก็จะมีความมั่นใจมากยิ่งขึ้น
          “วิกฤตครั้งนี้ ปัจจัยพื้นฐานต่างจากสมัยปี 2540 ซึ่งครั้งนั้นผลประกอบการของบริษัทต่างๆ เลวร้ายจริงๆ ทำให้บรรยากาศการลงทุนย่ำแย่ แต่วันนี้หุ้นของบริษัทจดทะเบียนมูลค่าเท่าเดิม แต่ของมีราคาถูกลง”
          คนทั่วไปจะมีความเข้าใจว่า การลงทุนเป็นเรื่องของเงินทองและทรัพย์สมบัติเท่านั้น ซึ่งแท้จริงแล้ว การลงทุนเกี่ยวข้องกับทุกส่วนของชีวิตมนุษย์ นับตั้งแต่มนุษย์เกิดขึ้นก็มีการลงทุนส่งเสียงร้องเพื่อให้ได้รับนมจากแม่ การลงทุนด้านการศึกษา ตลอดจนการทุ่มเทเวลากับการทำงาน เพื่อให้มีอนาคตที่มั่นคง ทั้งหมดนี้ล้วนแต่เป็นการลงทุนที่สำคัญทั้งสิ้น ส่วนการลงทุนในรูปของตัวเงิน แม้ไม่ใช่ทั้งหมดของชีวิตแต่ก็ช่วยสร้างความมั่นคงทางการเงินได้เช่นกัน
          “การลงทุนคือการตัดสินใจเลือกว่า ถ้าเราเลือกที่จะทำสิ่งหนึ่งและไม่ทำอีกอย่างหนึ่ง และถ้าเราเลือกที่จะทำสิ่งนั้น ผลตอบแทนที่กลับมาอาจจะไม่ใช่เรื่องของเงินทองเพียงอย่างเดียว แต่อาจจะเป็นเรื่องของความสุขที่ได้รับก็เป็นได้”
 


SME กับความผันผวนของเศรษฐกิจครึ่งปีหลัง
กาแฟกระป๋องอิงกระแส World Cup 2010 ดันยอดขายปีนี้โตหมื่นล้าน
Acer AN1600 F1 เสริมศักยภาพธุรกิจ SME
ฟันธงอุตสาหกรรมรถยนต์เมืองไทย ปีนี้ยอดผลิตทะลุ 1.5 ล้านคัน
สินค้าส่งออกของไทยที่ได้ประโยชน์จาก AFTA ในตลาดอาเซียนเดิม 5 ประเทศ


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